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Tuesday, December 30, 2025

The Boiling Point: Inside the Global Climate Crisis of 2025


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Every December, the same question is asked: was it a bad year for extreme weather? In 2025, the answer was more unequivocal than ever: yes. Although 2025 was slightly cooler than the record-breaking 2024 due to weak La NiƱa conditions, it remained hotter than almost any other year in history. For the first time, the three-year global temperature average crossed the critical 1.5 ∘C threshold, fueling a relentless parade of destructive extremes across every continent.


The Silent Killers: Heatwaves Redefined

While storms grab headlines with dramatic destruction, heatwaves remained the "silent killers" of 2025. In Europe alone, over 24,000 people lost their lives to extreme temperatures across 854 cities during the summer months.


The human toll was perhaps most visible in Juba, South Sudan, where the February heatwave was made 4 ∘C hotter by human-induced climate change. Dozens of children collapsed from heatstroke, forcing a two-week nationwide school closure. The crisis highlighted a deep gender divide: 95% of employed women in South Sudan work in the informal sector—such as agriculture and street vending—where they face extreme heat exposure without the protection of cooling or electricity.


In Central Asia, the records didn't just break; they shattered. A March heatwave saw temperatures reach 30.8 ∘C in Kyrgyzstan, an event that would have been 5 to 10 ∘C cooler in a world without climate change.


Deluges and Deserts: The Extremes of Water

The year 2025 was a year of hydrological whiplash. Floods were the most frequent hazard studied, with devastating deluges hitting Pakistan, Indonesia, and Botswana. In Botswana, torrential rains in February forced the closure of all government schools and paralyzed major ports of entry.


Conversely, other regions faced an existential lack of water. In Iran, 2025 marked the fifth consecutive year of drought. The crisis became so severe that officials warned Tehran, a city of 10 million people, might face evacuation if rains did not arrive. Scientists found that these multi-year "exceptional" droughts have become significantly more frequent and prolonged due to global warming.


The Fury of Fire and Wind

Wildfires in 2025 reached new levels of economic and ecological devastation:



Los Angeles: In January, delayed rains and fierce winds drove the most economically destructive wildfires in modern record through Altadena and the Pacific Palisades, causing $30 billion in insured losses and linked to 400 deaths.



South Korea: The country experienced its most extreme wildfire year on record, with the burned area in March alone more than four times greater than the previous annual record.



Mediterranean: Fire weather extremes in northwestern Iberia were found to be 40 times more likely due to climate change.


In the Atlantic, Hurricane Melissa pushed the limits of human adaptation. Despite Cuba evacuating over 735,000 people and Jamaica opening nearly 900 shelters, the storm's peak winds—strengthened by 7% due to a warming climate—caused inescapable damage to public health infrastructure.


The "Unequal Evidence" Gap

A recurring and troubling theme of 2025 was the "unequal foundation" of climate science. While the Global North is well-documented, many regions in the Global South lack the basic weather stations and high-quality climate models needed for confident attribution. In Kinshasa, DRC, and parts of Mexico, the lack of data makes it nearly impossible to quantify the role of climate change in deadly floods, mirroring the broader injustices of the climate crisis.


A Stark Reality

The events of 2025 reinforce a grim truth: at approximately 1.3 ∘C of warming, the world is already dangerously unprepared. While the Paris Agreement has helped lower projected warming from 4 ∘C to 2.6 ∘C, the current path still leads to a world of escalating risk. The message from 2025 is clear: while we must invest in adaptation, it has its limits; rapid emission reductions remain the only way to avoid the most catastrophic impacts of our warming world.

Monday, December 29, 2025

The Price of Breakdown: A Planet Under Siege in 2025


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The year 2025 was not merely a period of record-breaking heat; it was the year the global climate reached a terrifying breaking point. From the scorched hills of Los Angeles to the submerged villages of Southeast Asia, the world witnessed a relentless sequence of "avoidable tragedies" fueled by the continued burning of fossil fuels. As governments and corporations weighed the cost of transition, the planet presented its own invoice: a staggering multi-billion dollar toll in property damage and, more tragically, thousands of lives lost to a crisis they did little to cause.


The Inferno and the Flood: North America’s Trial

The year began with an apocalyptic display of "fire weather" in California. The Palisades and Eaton Fires erupted in January, a month usually reserved for winter rains, spreading with a ferocity that defied containment. Driven by prolonged drought and unusually high temperatures—conditions made 35% more likely by human-induced climate change—the flames obliterated entire neighborhoods in Los Angeles.



The Cost: Over $60 billion in economic losses, making it the most expensive wildfire event in U.S. history.



The Human Toll: While 31 deaths were initially recorded, subsequent studies revealed the true impact was closer to 431 fatalities.


By July, the element of destruction shifted from fire to water as Texas was struck by catastrophic flash flooding. A slow-moving storm unleashed up to 8 meters of rain in just 45 minutes, a surge so rapid it overwhelmed campers in the dead of night, claiming at least 135 lives.


Supercharged Storms: The Assault on the Global South

In late November, a rare and deadly alignment of three storm systems—Cyclone Senyar, Cyclone Ditwah, and Typhoon Koto—devastated South and Southeast Asia. These storms were "supercharged" by rising ocean temperatures, which allow the atmosphere to hold more moisture and release it with lethal intensity.



A Region in Ruin: More than 1,750 people died across Thailand, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, Viet Nam, and Malaysia. In Sri Lanka alone, two-thirds of the nation's rail lines were destroyed.



Economic Paralysis: The combined cost for this single cluster of storms is estimated to exceed $25 billion.


Meanwhile, Hurricane Melissa became the most powerful storm ever to strike Jamaica. Rapidly intensifying over "unusually warm" Caribbean waters, it made landfall with winds reaching 296 km/h, causing widespread destruction and at least 45 deaths.


The Silent Killers: Drought and Heat

While storms grab headlines, slow-onset disasters in 2025 proved equally transformative.



Brazil's Dust Bowl: A persistent drought affected more than half of Brazil by mid-year, drying up urban water supplies and crippling the agricultural sector to the tune of $4.75 billion.



The Middle East Crisis: A five-year drought continued to grip Iran and West Asia. In Tehran, home to 10 million people, authorities warned that an ongoing water crisis might soon necessitate the evacuation of the capital itself.



Japan's Extreme Year: Japan endured its hottest summer on record, with temperatures peaking at 41.8°C in Isesaki. This heat followed massive February snowstorms that were 10% more intense due to climate change.


A Political Choice

The report from Counting the Cost 2025 is clear: the suffering of this year was not an act of God, but a "political choice". While renewable energy is now the cheapest form of electricity, trillions in subsidies continue to flow into the very fossil fuel projects that fuel these disasters.


For the communities in the Global South, 2025 was a year of permanent loss and damage. As the planet heads into 2026, the demand for rich, polluting nations to pay for the "polluter-pays" principle has never been more urgent. Without a rapid shift, the financial and human costs documented this year are merely a preview of the breakdown to come.

Consumers call an end to January brownout cycle




December 29, 2025 – A consumer group is urging power distributors and electric cooperatives to end what it calls the annual “January Brownout” tradition while urging the power sector to come up with reliability plan to prevent this from happening. 


In the last two years, the Partners for Affordable and Reliable Energy noted that, at the turn of the New Year, there have been seemingly more frequent and widespread power outages in January. 


On January 2, 2024, just a day after New Year celebrations, Western Visayas, including Panay and Guimaras, was plunged into a massive blackout. The outage lasted for several days, affecting around 4.5 million people and causing hundreds of millions in estimated economic losses. Full power was restored only by January 5.


In early January 2025, consumers again endured a wave of scheduled and unscheduled power interruptions in parts of Luzon and the Visayas. Maintenance work and system issues forced many families to adjust their work, school, and small-business operations around hours without electricity.


Filipino households have now welcomed both January 2024 and January 2025 in the dark. Blackouts and prolonged interruptions turned what should be a season of joy into a period of anxiety, lost income, and daily disruption. As the country enters January 2026, consumers expect a power sector that prioritizes reliability over excuses and press statements, and that treats every home as a priority rather than collateral damage of a fragile energy system.


Nic Satur Jr., Chief Advocate Officer of PARE, emphasized that the recurring pattern of holiday and New Year outages is unacceptable. He noted that households already pay one of the highest electricity rates in Southeast Asia.


In Western Visayas, the January 2024 blackout left Panay and Guimaras in darkness for days. Residents and businesses were severely affected, exposing how vulnerable the grid becomes when multiple power plants trip simultaneously.


“Families who faithfully pay their bills each month should not have to welcome the new year worrying about whether the lights will stay on,” Satur said.


“For two straight years, Filipino families have started January with brownouts instead of stability,” Satur added. “This 2026, consumers are not asking for miracles. We are asking for a power sector that does its basic job and keeps the lights on.”


For PARE and allied consumer groups, January 2026 should serve as a test of whether government and industry have learned from the Panay crisis and subsequent interruptions. 


They argue that this year should bring fewer large-scale outages, faster restoration times, lower system losses, and clear, verifiable plans to prevent a repeat of January 2024 and 2025. “If after all the Senate and Congress hearings and statements we still start 2026 in the dark, then the government has chosen excuses over consumers,” Satur said.


The group is calling on DOE, NGCP, ERC, NEA, and distribution utilities to publish a January reliability plan jointly. This plan should detail available reserves, contingency measures, and safeguards for vulnerable islands and provinces.


It should also ensure that critical power plants follow approved maintenance schedules, that workable backup options are in place when large units trip, and that transmission constraints do not once again turn January power interruptions into island-wide blackouts. 


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